Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Boavista win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.