Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18
Jan 20, 2025 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio do Bessa Seculo XXI
Boavista2 - 3Casa Pia
FT(HT: 1-2)
We said: Boavista 0-1 Casa Pia
Casa Pia's strong away form contrasts sharply with Boavista's struggles at the Bessa, where they remain the only side yet to win at home. While the hosts' urgency for points is undeniable, their lack of confidence leaves them vulnerable, making an away win the most probable outcome. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Casa Pia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Casa Pia |
40.1% ( -0.11) | 27.69% ( 0.17) | 32.2% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 48.18% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
