Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 4, 2025 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio do Bessa Seculo XXI
Boavista1 - 3Arouca
We said: Boavista 1-1 Arouca
While Boavista and Arouca have struggled to get going so far, victory here could kickstart an upturn in form as they aim for a strong second half of the campaign. However, both sides are evenly matched on paper and we predict that they will cancel out each other's efforts at the Estadio do Bessa. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Boavista win was 1-0 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Arouca |
30.51% ( 0.34) | 27.55% ( 0.26) | 41.93% ( -0.6) |
| Both teams to score 48.01% ( -0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
