Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 46.43%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
46.43% ( 0.36) | 26.43% ( 0.02) | 27.14% ( -0.38) |
Both teams to score 49.37% ( -0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.2% ( -0.29) | 54.8% ( 0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.89% ( -0.24) | 76.1% ( 0.24) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.43% ( 0.05) | 23.57% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.36% ( 0.07) | 57.64% ( -0.06) |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.6% ( -0.46) | 35.39% ( 0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.84% ( -0.48) | 72.16% ( 0.48) |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
1-0 @ 12.05% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.71% Total : 46.42% | 1-1 @ 12.52% 0-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.42% | 0-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.5% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.04% Total : 27.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Nacional | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
15 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
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