Braga2 - 1Arouca
We said: Braga 2-0 Arouca
With Braga in fine form and boasting a flawless recent run at home built on defensive resilience, they are well-positioned to claim victory in this encounter, with another clean sheet looking a strong possibility. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 61.62%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 18.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 1-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for an Arouca win it was 1-2 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Braga in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Braga.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Arouca |
61.62% ( -0.5) | 20.33% ( 0.19) | 18.05% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 57.21% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.24% ( -0.35) | 38.76% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.93% ( -0.38) | 61.07% ( 0.38) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.88% ( -0.24) | 12.12% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.31% ( -0.52) | 37.69% ( 0.53) |
| Arouca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.1% ( 0.13) | 34.9% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.36% ( 0.13) | 71.64% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Arouca |
| 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.42% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 3.68% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.95% Total : 61.62% | 1-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.33% | 1-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.74% Total : 18.05% |
