Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2025 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Arouca1 - 1Estoril
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: AVS 0-1 Arouca
Saturday, March 8 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, March 8 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
24
Last Game: Estoril 2-2 Farense
Saturday, March 8 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, March 8 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
33
We said: Arouca 2-2 Estoril Praia
After a turbulent first half of the season, Arouca have put together a fine run of form in recent weeks and will be looking to secure back-to-back victories for the second time this year. However, Estoril have proven tough to crack in recent weeks and we predict that they will do just enough to force a share of the spoils. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Arouca | Draw | Estoril Praia |
42.82% ( -0.73) | 25.59% ( 0.15) | 31.59% ( 0.58) |
| Both teams to score 54.5% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.66% ( -0.43) | 49.34% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.61% ( -0.39) | 71.39% ( 0.39) |
| Arouca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.07% ( -0.53) | 22.93% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.3% ( -0.8) | 56.7% ( 0.8) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.72% ( 0.18) | 29.28% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.75% ( 0.22) | 65.25% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
Arouca 42.82%
Estoril Praia 31.59%
Draw 25.58%
| Arouca | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 1-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 4.39% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.13% Total : 42.82% | 1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 7.46% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.5% Total : 31.59% |
How you voted: Arouca vs Estoril
Arouca
57.1%Draw
42.9%Estoril Praia
0.0%7
Head to Head
May 15, 2023 8.15pm
Jan 7, 2023 3.30pm
