Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 64.22%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 15.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Gil Vicente |
64.22% (![]() | 20.68% (![]() | 15.1% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.45% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.18% (![]() | 45.82% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.86% (![]() | 68.14% (![]() |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.45% (![]() | 13.55% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.37% (![]() | 40.63% (![]() |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.19% (![]() | 42.8% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.88% (![]() | 79.12% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Gil Vicente |
1-0 @ 11.59% (![]() 2-0 @ 11.58% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.83% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.72% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.55% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.86% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.27% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.78% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.54% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.39% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.31% ( ![]() Other @ 2.79% Total : 64.21% | 1-1 @ 9.84% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.8% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.17% ( ![]() Other @ 0.88% Total : 20.68% | 0-1 @ 4.92% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.17% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.09% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.18% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 1.56% Total : 15.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 67 | 22 | 45 | 59 |
2 | Benfica | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 56 | 18 | 38 | 56 |
3 | Porto | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 50 |
4 | Braga | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 22 | 19 | 50 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 40 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 38 |
7 | Casa Pia | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 36 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 35 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 31 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 29 |
11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 28 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 28 |
13 | Nacional | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 26 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 23 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 23 |
16 | AVS | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 23 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 17 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 15 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |