MX23RW : Monday, March 10 21:35:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21
Feb 9, 2025 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Gil Vicente logo

Braga
2 - 0
Gil Vicente

Fernandes (10', 81')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Aguirre de Cespedes (15')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Moreirense 1-2 Braga
Monday, February 3 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-2 Estoril
Saturday, February 1 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Braga 2-1 Gil Vicente

Braga have a mixed record at home while Gil Vicente have a poor record on the road, so expect a close game regardless of the result. That being said, the hosts have been in strong form more generally and their momentum - as well as the chance to put pressure on Porto - could see them take an important three points this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 64.22%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 15.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
BragaDrawGil Vicente
64.22% (0.264 0.26) 20.68% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03) 15.1% (-0.234 -0.23)
Both teams to score 49.45% (-0.455 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.18% (-0.319 -0.32)45.82% (0.317 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.86% (-0.303 -0.3)68.14% (0.304 0.3)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.45% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)13.55% (0.019 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.37% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)40.63% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.19% (-0.515 -0.52)42.8% (0.513 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.88% (-0.439 -0.44)79.12% (0.44 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Braga 64.21%
    Gil Vicente 15.1%
    Draw 20.68%
BragaDrawGil Vicente
1-0 @ 11.59% (0.15 0.15)
2-0 @ 11.58% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.72% (0.086 0.09)
3-1 @ 6.55% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.86% (0.04 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.27% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.048 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.54% (0.015 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.025 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.31% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 64.21%
1-1 @ 9.84% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.8% (0.078 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.17% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 20.68%
0-1 @ 4.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 4.17% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.09% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.18% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.18% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 15.1%

How you voted: Braga vs Gil Vicente

Braga
86.5%
Draw
13.5%
Gil Vicente
0.0%
37
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 4
Gil Vicente
0-0
Braga
Cruz (42'), Mboula (71'), Fujimoto (77'), Andrew (82')
Carvalho (45')
Mar 16, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 26
Braga
2-1
Gil Vicente
Ruiz (39'), Banza (89')
Alipour (59' pen.)
Buta (61'), Pereira (66'), Alipour (82')
Oct 28, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 9
Gil Vicente
3-3
Braga
Baturina (21'), Dominguez (58' pen.), Wilson (89')
Carlos (34'), Fernandes (43'), Pereira (71'), Tiba (90+6')
Banza (71'), Horta (78', 82')
Ruiz (70'), Djalo (76')
Niakate (55')
Apr 16, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 28
Braga
1-0
Gil Vicente
Horta (30')
Oct 30, 2022 8.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon25185267224559
2Benfica24182456183856
3Porto25155549202950
4Braga25155541221950
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara2512492625140
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes2591153427738
7Casa Pia2510693132-136
8Estoril PraiaEstoril259883340-735
9FamalicaoFamalicao2471072726131
10Rio AveRio Ave247892739-1229
11MoreirenseMoreirense2577113037-728
12AroucaArouca2577112438-1428
13Nacional2575132335-1226
14Gil Vicente2458112436-1223
15Estrela Amadora2558122136-1523
16AVS25411102035-1523
17SC FarenseFarense2538141736-1917
18BoavistaBoavista2536161642-2615


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