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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 1, 2022 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal
Benfica

Braga
3 - 2
Benfica

Medeiros (28'), Horta (59'), Oliveira (79')
Ruiz (8'), Elmusrati (30')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Nunez (74' pen.), Mario (77')
Vertonghen (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Famalicao 3-2 Braga
Sunday, May 15 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 0-2 Benfica
Friday, May 13 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Braga 1-2 Benfica

With their European commitments on the horizon, we expect both sides to take the game to each other in search of a morale-boosting result. However, looking at past results between the sides and their current form, Benfica are clear favourites to come away with the desired result and we predict they will do just that. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 39.08%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Benfica win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
BragaDrawBenfica
39.08%25.74%35.18%
Both teams to score 55.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.88%49.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.81%71.19%
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.27%24.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.72%59.27%
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.09%26.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.76%62.24%
Score Analysis
    Braga 39.08%
    Benfica 35.18%
    Draw 25.73%
BragaDrawBenfica
1-0 @ 9.3%
2-1 @ 8.53%
2-0 @ 6.5%
3-1 @ 3.97%
3-0 @ 3.03%
3-2 @ 2.61%
4-1 @ 1.39%
4-0 @ 1.06%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 39.08%
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 6.65%
2-2 @ 5.6%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.73%
0-1 @ 8.73%
1-2 @ 8.01%
0-2 @ 5.73%
1-3 @ 3.51%
0-3 @ 2.51%
2-3 @ 2.45%
1-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 35.18%

How you voted: Braga vs Benfica

Braga
14.4%
Draw
13.4%
Benfica
72.2%
97
Head to Head
Nov 7, 2021 9.15pm
Benfica
6-1
Braga
Grimaldo (2'), Nunez (37'), Silva (42', 45+3'), Everton (52', 59')
Gilberto (48'), Pizzi (81'), Ramos (83')
Horta (12')
Elmusrati (26'), Mineiro (90')
May 23, 2021 8.30pm
Braga
2-0
Benfica
Piazon (45+3'), Horta (85')
Esgaio (35'), Elmusrati (67'), Novais (82')
Piazon (90+4')

Silva (85'), Tavares (88'), Otamendi (89'), Grimaldo (90+4')
Leite (17'), Taarabt (90+3')
Mar 21, 2021 8pm
Braga
0-2
Benfica

Fransergio (27')
Fransergio (39')
Silva (45+2'), Seferovic (56')
Otamendi (16'), Goncalves (45+1'), Pizzi (65'), Weigl (70')
Jan 20, 2021 7.45pm
Braga
2-1
Benfica
Ruiz (28'), Tormena (59')
Castro (20'), Sequeira (34'), Esgaio (66'), Fransergio (90+4')
Pizzi (45' pen.)
Todibo (38'), Weigl (52'), Jardel (83')
Nov 8, 2020 8pm
Benfica
2-3
Braga
Seferovic (68', 86')
Goncalves (79')
Medeiros (38'), Moura (50', 63')
Medeiros (11'), Esgaio (26'), Sequeira (56')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Porto1512123692737
2Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
3Benfica1411213482635
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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