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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34
May 27, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Braga
Pacos de Ferreira logo

Braga
3 - 0
Pacos de Ferreira

Djalo (8'), Horta (29'), Banza (51')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Ribeiro (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Pacos de Ferreira, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Boavista 1-1 Braga
Saturday, May 20 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Pacos de Ferreira

All competitions
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 3-1 Rio Ave
Sunday, May 21 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Braga 2-1 Pacos de Ferreira

 Having failed to beat the drop, Pacos de Ferreira will be looking to at least go down on a high. However, Braga have been near impenetrable at home, where they have lost just once since early November. We are backing Os Arcebispos to extend their dominance over the visitors and pick up a morale-boosting result ahead of June's cup final. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 75.35%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 8.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.37%) and 3-0 (10.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.59%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
BragaDrawPacos de Ferreira
75.35% (0.055999999999997 0.06) 15.98% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02) 8.67% (-0.031099999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 44.14% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.48% (0.012 0.01)41.52% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.08% (0.012 0.01)63.92% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.64% (0.01700000000001 0.02)9.36% (-0.016 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.46% (0.039000000000001 0.04)31.54% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.7% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)51.3% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.46% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)85.54% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Braga 75.33%
    Pacos de Ferreira 8.67%
    Draw 15.98%
BragaDrawPacos de Ferreira
2-0 @ 13.47% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 11.37%
3-0 @ 10.63% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.99% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.1% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 6.3% (0.015 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.2% (0.0020000000000007 0)
5-0 @ 2.98% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.002 -0)
6-0 @ 1.18% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 75.33%
1-1 @ 7.59% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.8% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 3% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 15.98%
0-1 @ 3.21% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 2.53% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.07% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 8.67%

How you voted: Braga vs Pacos de Ferreira

Braga
100%
Draw
0.0%
Pacos de Ferreira
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2023 3.30pm
gameweek 17
Pacos de Ferreira
1-2
Braga
Holsgrove (68')
Carlos (38'), Marafona (84')
de Brito Gonzaga (90+9')
Oliveira (58'), Banza (90+8')
Sequeira (20'), Horta (38'), Oliveira (81'), Santos (90+10'), Santos (90+11')
Dec 11, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Braga
2-0
Pacos de Ferreira
Djalo (42'), Ruiz (45+1')

Holsgrove (37')
Feb 12, 2022 3.30pm
gameweek 22
Braga
2-1
Pacos de Ferreira
Horta (67', 90')
Horta (45'), Buta (56'), Horta (64'), Castro (90+3')
Horta (71')
Antunes (45+1')
Uilton (40'), Baixinho (66')
Oct 28, 2021 8.15pm
Group Stage
Braga
0-0
Pacos de Ferreira

Moura (28'), Leite (50'), Sequeira (80')
Moura (45+1')

Bastos (28'), Vekic (42'), de Brito Gonzaga (49'), Djalo (60'), Silva (77'), Denilson (90+1')
Sep 11, 2021 3.30pm
gameweek 5
Pacos de Ferreira
0-0
Braga

Carlos (31'), Antunes (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
2Porto1512123692737
3Benfica1411213482635
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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