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Estoril
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Moreirense
Nacional
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Rio Ave
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Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Pacos de Ferreira logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 21, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio da Capital do Móvel
Braga

Pacos de Ferreira
1 - 2
Braga

Holsgrove (68')
Carlos (38'), Marafona (84')
de Brito Gonzaga (90+9')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Oliveira (58'), Banza (90+8')
Sequeira (20'), Horta (38'), Oliveira (81'), Santos (90+11'), Santos (90+10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Pacos de Ferreira and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Braga 1-0 Boavista
Saturday, January 14 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Pacos de Ferreira 1-3 Braga

In the presence of UEFA-designated tournaments since 2004-05, we predict that Braga will continue their aspirations of not only once gracing both domestic and continental engagements but keep their dream of winning their first-ever Primeira Liga title alive. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 58.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 19.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.09%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 1-0 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Pacos de FerreiraDrawBraga
19.47% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05) 22.35% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 58.17% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Both teams to score 52.91% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.29% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)45.71% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.97% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)68.03% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.55% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)37.45% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.77% (-0.081 -0.08)74.23% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.59% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)15.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)44.23% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Pacos de Ferreira 19.47%
    Braga 58.17%
    Draw 22.35%
Pacos de FerreiraDrawBraga
1-0 @ 5.67% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-1 @ 5.21% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.78% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.7% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.59% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 0.91% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 19.47%
1-1 @ 10.6% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.77% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.35%
0-1 @ 10.79% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 10.09% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.91% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 6.29% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.18% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 3.04% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.94% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.89% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-4 @ 1.42% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-5 @ 1.1% (0.002 0)
1-5 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 58.17%

How you voted: Pacos de Ferreira vs Braga

Pacos de Ferreira
5.6%
Draw
2.8%
Braga
91.7%
36
Head to Head
Dec 11, 2022 7pm
Feb 12, 2022 3.30pm
Braga
2-1
Pacos de Ferreira
Horta (67', 90')
Horta (45'), Buta (56'), Horta (64'), Castro (90+3')
Horta (71')
Antunes (45+1')
Uilton (40'), Baixinho (66')
Oct 28, 2021 8.15pm
Braga
0-0
Pacos de Ferreira

Moura (28'), Leite (50'), Sequeira (80')
Moura (45+1')

Bastos (28'), Vekic (42'), de Brito Gonzaga (49'), Djalo (60'), Silva (77'), Denilson (90+1')
Sep 11, 2021 3.30pm
May 5, 2021 7pm
Braga
1-1
Pacos de Ferreira
Galeno (78' pen.)
Ruiz (90+2')
Pedro (26')
Amaral (33'), Pedro (39'), Silva (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1010003533230
2Porto98012341924
3Benfica97112461822
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara96031310318
5Braga9522156917
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes94321110115
7MoreirenseMoreirense94231211114
8FamalicaoFamalicao934297213
9Casa Pia10334913-412
10Gil Vicente92431114-310
11Estoril PraiaEstoril9234812-49
12AVS9234716-99
13Rio AveRio Ave10235820-129
14AroucaArouca9216517-127
15BoavistaBoavista9135512-76
16Estrela Amadora10136820-126
17Nacional8125413-95
18SC FarenseFarense10118417-134


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