Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Vizela |
39.73% ( 0.29) | 27.32% ( -0.07) | 32.95% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 49.48% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.01% ( 0.23) | 55.99% ( -0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.92% ( 0.18) | 77.08% ( -0.18) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.46% ( 0.27) | 27.55% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.94% ( 0.35) | 63.06% ( -0.35) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.29% ( -0.03) | 31.72% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.86% ( -0.03) | 68.14% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Vizela |
1-0 @ 11.26% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.58% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.94% Total : 39.73% | 1-1 @ 12.93% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.32% | 0-1 @ 10.03% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 7.43% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 32.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 37 |
2 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
3 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
4 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 28 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
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