Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33
May 12, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Do Dragao
Porto2 - 1Boavista
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Chaves 0-3 Porto
Saturday, May 4 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, May 4 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Boavista 1-1 Gil Vicente
Saturday, May 4 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, May 4 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Porto 3-1 Boavista
Although Porto have had a disappointing league campaign, the Dragons will want to at least qualify for the Europa League and will therefore be keen to secure all three points this weekend. Boavista will try to make things difficult for Conceicao's side, but they could ultimately fall short due to the gap in quality between the respective squads. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 79.9%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 7.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.91%) and 1-0 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.16%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (2.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Boavista |
79.9% ( -2.19) | 13.05% ( 1.31) | 7.05% ( 0.88) |
| Both teams to score 47.43% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
