Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Braga had a probability of 36.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest Braga win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Porto |
36.45% (![]() | 24.91% (![]() | 38.64% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58.06% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.74% (![]() | 45.26% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.4% (![]() | 67.6% (![]() |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.62% (![]() | 24.38% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.21% (![]() | 58.79% (![]() |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.78% (![]() | 23.22% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.88% (![]() | 57.12% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Porto |
2-1 @ 8.23% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.99% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.64% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.87% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.83% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.65% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.37% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 1.93% Total : 36.45% | 1-1 @ 11.66% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.01% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.66% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.38% ( ![]() Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.9% | 1-2 @ 8.52% (![]() 0-1 @ 8.27% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.04% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.15% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.94% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.93% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.51% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.07% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 2.16% Total : 38.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 12 |
2 | Porto | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 |
3 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 |
6 | Braga | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
7 | Benfica | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
12 | AVS | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 |
13 | Nacional | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 |
15 | Casa Pia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 3 |
16 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 2 |
17 | Estrela Amadora | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 0 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |