Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Airdrieonians in this match.