Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.