MX23RW : Sunday, May 26 09:47:57| >> :120:35789:35789:
Inverness CT
Scottish Cup | Fifth Round
Feb 10, 2024 at 3pm UK
Tulloch Caledonian Stadium
Hibs logo

Inverness
1 - 3
Hibernian

Doran (90+5')
Carragher (28')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Maolida (55'), Boyle (79'), Youan (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Cup clash between Inverness Caledonian Thistle and Hibernian, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hibernian 1-2 Celtic
Wednesday, February 7 at 8pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Inverness Caledonian Thistle 1-2 Hibernian

The hosts might have thrived in this competition last season, but they will still be the underdogs heading into this game, and it is Hibernian that will be expected to progress. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.

Result
Inverness Caledonian ThistleDrawHibernian
33.62% (0.269 0.27) 25.98% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 40.4% (-0.226 -0.23)
Both teams to score 53.89% (0.213 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.57% (0.241 0.24)50.43% (-0.242 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.64% (0.214 0.21)72.36% (-0.214 -0.21)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.5% (0.291 0.29)28.5% (-0.289 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.72% (0.363 0.36)64.27% (-0.363 -0.36)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.38% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)24.62% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.87% (-0.012 -0.01)59.13% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Inverness Caledonian Thistle 33.62%
    Hibernian 40.4%
    Draw 25.97%
Inverness Caledonian ThistleDrawHibernian
1-0 @ 8.81% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.75% (0.048 0.05)
2-0 @ 5.53% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.24% (0.046 0.05)
3-0 @ 2.31% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.031 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.02% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 33.62%
1-1 @ 12.34% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.02% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.43% (0.032 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.97%
0-1 @ 9.83% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-2 @ 8.65% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.89% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-3 @ 4.04% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.22% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.54% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.42% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 40.4%

How you voted: Inverness vs Hibernian

Inverness Caledonian Thistle
37.5%
Draw
0.0%
Hibernian
62.5%
8
Head to Head
Feb 28, 2020 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Hibernian
5-2
Inverness
Jackson (38'), Allan (58'), Docherty (71'), Omeonga (81'), Gullan (84')
Boyle (8'), Doidge (47')
Tremarco (73'), Todorov (88')
Trafford (14'), Carson (18'), Tremarco (22'), McHattie (66')
McKay (74')
Mar 16, 2016 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Inverness
1-2
Hibernian
Vigurs (77')
Wedderburn (60'), Meekings (63')
Stokes (36', 41')
Keatings (69'), Gray (82'), Oxley (86')
Mar 6, 2016 2pm
Quarter-Finals
Hibernian
1-1
Inverness
Keatings (54')
Keatings (70')
Mbuyi-Mutombo (77')
Polworth (28'), Warren (62'), Tansey (63')
Mar 12, 2014 7.45pm
Nov 9, 2013 3pm
rhs 2.0
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