Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 52.24%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 24.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.