Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 46.61%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 28.41% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hibernian in this match.
Result | ||
Hibernian | Draw | Kilmarnock |
46.61% ( -0.02) | 24.98% ( -0) | 28.41% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 54.73% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.76% ( 0.03) | 48.24% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.61% ( 0.03) | 70.39% ( -0.03) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.27% ( 0) | 20.74% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.64% ( 0.01) | 53.36% ( -0) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.05% ( 0.03) | 30.95% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.75% ( 0.04) | 67.25% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Hibernian | Draw | Kilmarnock |
1-0 @ 10.09% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.89% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.17% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.92% 4-0 @ 1.64% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 46.61% | 1-1 @ 11.84% 0-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.98% | 0-1 @ 7.53% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.41% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.73% ( 0) Other @ 2.95% Total : 28.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 23 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 64 | 11 | 53 | 60 |
2 | RangersRangers | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 44 |
3 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 37 |
4 | Aberdeen | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 35 |
5 | Motherwell | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 31 |
6 | Hibernian | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 29 |
7 | Dundee | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 27 |
8 | St Mirren | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 27 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 25 |
10 | Ross County | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 25 |
11 | Hearts | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 24 |
12 | St Johnstone | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 15 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |