Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
Result | ||
St Johnstone | Draw | Kilmarnock |
30.55% ( 0.36) | 27.36% ( 0.01) | 42.08% ( -0.38) |
Both teams to score 48.57% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.23% ( 0.06) | 56.76% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.29% ( 0.05) | 77.71% ( -0.05) |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.19% ( 0.3) | 33.8% ( -0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.53% ( 0.33) | 70.47% ( -0.33) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.37% ( -0.18) | 26.63% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.14% ( -0.23) | 61.86% ( 0.23) |
Score Analysis |
St Johnstone | Draw | Kilmarnock |
1-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.37% Total : 30.55% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.35% | 0-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.55% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.88% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.06% Total : 42.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 26 | 28 |
2 | Aberdeen | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 28 |
3 | RangersRangers | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 16 |
5 | Motherwell | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
6 | Dundee | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 12 |
7 | St Mirren | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |