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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 4
Sep 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
Hibs logo

Kilmarnock
1 - 1
Hibernian

Anderson (90+2' pen.)
Ndaba (8'), Kennedy (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Newell (50')
Kukharevych (63'), Obita (70'), Miller (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Hibernian, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-1 Copenhagen
Thursday, August 29 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Hibernian 2-2 Dundee
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Kilmarnock 1-1 Hibernian

Both sides have had challenging starts to the 2024-25 season, leaving them rather evenly-matched heading into this one, and we expect Sunday's game will end all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 1-0 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawHibernian
36.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 25.59% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 38.27% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.63% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.62% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)48.37% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.49% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)70.51% (0.080999999999989 0.08)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.99% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)26% (0.046000000000003 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.97% (-0.061 -0.06)61.02% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.18% (-0.048999999999992 -0.05)24.81% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.6% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)59.4% (0.068000000000005 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 36.14%
    Hibernian 38.27%
    Draw 25.58%
KilmarnockDrawHibernian
1-0 @ 8.69% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.85% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.66% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.63% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 36.14%
1-1 @ 12.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.45% (0.024 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.58%
0-1 @ 8.99% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.44% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 6.27% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.92% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.91% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.37% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 38.27%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Hibernian

Kilmarnock
26.3%
Draw
31.6%
Hibernian
42.1%
19
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 23
Kilmarnock
2-2
Hibernian
Vente (25' og.), Kennedy (54')
Wright (17'), Kennedy (90')
Ndaba (73')
Newell (66'), Maolida (81')
Marcondes (90+3')
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Hibernian
1-0
Kilmarnock
Campbell (36')
Campbell (89'), Miller (90+7')

Donnelly (36'), Lyons (51'), Wright (61'), Findlay (82'), McKenzie (90+1')
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Kilmarnock
2-2
Hibernian
Vassell (61'), Wright (79')
Vassell (45+2'), Lyons (50'), Armstrong (68'), Deas (81'), Magennis (90+2')
Dennis (8' og.), Vente (59')
Miller (24'), Fish (54'), Boyle (89'), Obita (90+4')
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 26
Hibernian
2-0
Kilmarnock
Fish (16'), Hoppe (47')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Kilmarnock
1-0
Hibernian
Armstrong (53' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic44001201212
2Aberdeen440082612
3Dundee UnitedDundee Utd42206338
4RangersRangers42118447
5Motherwell42116427
6Dundee41309726
7St Mirren411268-24
8St Johnstone410356-13
9Hibernian402238-52
10Ross County402218-72
11Hearts401327-51
12Kilmarnock4013110-91


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