Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 29
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
Kilmarnock1 - 1St Johnstone
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Inverness 2-1 Kilmarnock
Friday, March 10 at 7.45pm in Scottish Cup
Friday, March 10 at 7.45pm in Scottish Cup
Last Game: Hearts 3-0 St Johnstone
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
We said: Kilmarnock 0-1 St Johnstone
Given that St Johnstone have the third-best away record in the Scottish Premiership, we expect the visitors to notch a narrow victory over Kilmarnock, who are unlikely to improve the division's worst offensive record on Saturday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 53.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 22.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | St Johnstone |
53.26% ( 0.49) | 24.42% ( -0.17) | 22.32% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 50.64% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
