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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 29
Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Smisa Stadium
Aberdeen logo

St Mirren
2 - 1
Aberdeen

O'Hara (90+6' pen.), Olusanya (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Barron (1')
Miovski (45'), McGarry (71'), Shinnie (87'), Devlin (90+4'), MacDonald (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Mirren and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ross County 1-1 St Mirren
Tuesday, February 27 at 8pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 0-2 St Johnstone
Wednesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: St Mirren 2-0 Aberdeen

Aberdeen have been struggling to score as of late and that is something that could cause them problems on the road this weekend. St Mirren will want to keep pushing for a place in the top four and the quality of the squad, combined with their momentum, should lead to them taking all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 42.48%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.

Result
St MirrenDrawAberdeen
42.48% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 26.63% (-0.026 -0.03) 30.88% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 50.88% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.13% (0.097999999999999 0.1)53.87% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.67% (0.082000000000001 0.08)75.33% (-0.082000000000008 -0.08)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.9% (0.055999999999997 0.06)25.1% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.2% (0.078000000000003 0.08)59.79% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.94% (0.049000000000007 0.05)32.06% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.47% (0.056000000000001 0.06)68.53% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 42.48%
    Aberdeen 30.88%
    Draw 26.63%
St MirrenDrawAberdeen
1-0 @ 11.12% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.75% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.69% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 4.03% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.54% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.22% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 42.48%
1-1 @ 12.65% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.05% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.97% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.63%
0-1 @ 9.15% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.2% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 5.21% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.97% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 30.88%

How you voted: St Mirren vs Aberdeen

St Mirren
55.6%
Draw
16.7%
Aberdeen
27.8%
18
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Aberdeen
0-3
St Mirren

Devlin (25')
O'Hara (12'), Ayunga (78'), Kiltie (90+3' pen.)
Aug 27, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 3
St Mirren
2-2
Aberdeen
Kiltie (59' pen.), Greive (76')
Strain (34'), Robinson (35'), Hemming (90+12')
Hayes (42'), Miovski (90+10' pen.)
Lopes (71'), Rubezic (88')
May 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Aberdeen
3-0
St Mirren
Clarkson (14'), Shinnie (43', 49')

Gogic (59')
Small (30')
Feb 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Aberdeen
1-3
St Mirren
Miovski (74' pen.)
Main (57', 81'), Gallagher (90')
Dec 24, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 18
St Mirren
3-1
Aberdeen
Roos (38' og.), O'Hara (53' pen.), Kiltie (90+5')
Kennedy (9')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
1Celtic000080265478
2RangersRangers000072234974
3Hearts000046341262
4Kilmarnock00004334951
5St Mirren00003843-543
6Dundee00004454-1040
Relegation Group
1Hibernian00004451-739
2Motherwell00004651-537
3Aberdeen00003549-1435
4St Johnstone00002446-2231
5Ross County00003256-2430
6Livingston00002259-3718
 
First Phase
1Celtic33246380265478
2RangersRangers32242672234974
3Hearts33195946341262
4Kilmarnock33131284334951
5St Mirren33127143843-543
6Dundee321010124454-1040
7Hibernian33912124451-739
8Motherwell33813124651-537
9Aberdeen33811143549-1435
10St Johnstone33710162446-2231
11Ross County3379173256-2430
12Livingston3339212259-3718


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