Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 57.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Brescia had a probability of 21.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.75%) and 0-2 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Brescia win it was 2-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.