Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 64.47%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 16.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 1-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.93%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 1-2 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Roma in this match.
