Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 59.92%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Parma had a probability of 18.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.29%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Parma win it was 1-0 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Parma | Draw | Napoli |
18.34% | 21.74% | 59.92% |
Both teams to score 52.93% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.31% | 44.69% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.94% | 67.06% |
Parma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.91% | 38.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.14% | 74.86% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.5% | 14.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.49% | 42.51% |
Score Analysis |
Parma | Draw | Napoli |
1-0 @ 5.33% 2-1 @ 4.97% 2-0 @ 2.57% 3-1 @ 1.6% 3-2 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.33% Total : 18.34% | 1-1 @ 10.29% 0-0 @ 5.53% 2-2 @ 4.8% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.73% | 0-1 @ 10.66% 0-2 @ 10.29% 1-2 @ 9.94% 0-3 @ 6.63% 1-3 @ 6.4% 0-4 @ 3.2% 1-4 @ 3.09% 2-3 @ 3.09% 2-4 @ 1.49% 0-5 @ 1.24% 1-5 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.7% Total : 59.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 42 | 19 | 23 | 40 |
2 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 17 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 31 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Roma | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 19 |
11 | Empoli | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 13 |
20 | Monza | 17 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |