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Serie A | Gameweek 33
Jul 15, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Giuseppe Meazza
Parma logo

AC Milan
3 - 1
Parma

Kessie (55'), Romagnoli (59'), Calhanoglu (77')
Conti (33')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kurtic (44')
Grassi (33'), Darmian (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Parma, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 59.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Parma had a probability of 19.21%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawParma
59.14%21.65%19.21%
Both teams to score 54.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.02%42.97%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.62%65.38%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.82%14.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.11%41.88%
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.86%36.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.08%72.92%
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 59.14%
    Parma 19.21%
    Draw 21.64%
AC MilanDrawParma
1-0 @ 10.01%
2-1 @ 9.95%
2-0 @ 9.78%
3-1 @ 6.48%
3-0 @ 6.37%
3-2 @ 3.3%
4-1 @ 3.16%
4-0 @ 3.11%
4-2 @ 1.61%
5-1 @ 1.24%
5-0 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 59.14%
1-1 @ 10.18%
0-0 @ 5.13%
2-2 @ 5.06%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.64%
0-1 @ 5.22%
1-2 @ 5.19%
0-2 @ 2.66%
1-3 @ 1.76%
2-3 @ 1.72%
0-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 19.21%

Head to Head
Dec 1, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 14
Parma
0-1
AC Milan

Iacoponi (61')
Hernandez (88')
Bennacer (58'), Hernandez (89'), Donnarumma (90')
Apr 20, 2019 11.30am
Gameweek 33
Parma
1-1
AC Milan
Alves (87')
Castillejo (69')
Biglia (82')
Dec 2, 2018 11.30am
Gameweek 14
AC Milan
2-1
Parma
Cutrone (55'), Kessie (71' pen.)
Borini (70'), Castillejo (90')
Inglese (49')
Biabiany (61'), Iacoponi (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan28187363273661
2Napoli28186445232260
3Atalanta BCAtalanta28177463263758
4Juventus281313245252052
5Lazio28156750361451
6Bologna281311444341050
7Roma28137843301346
8Fiorentina28136943301345
9AC Milan28128842321044
10Udinese28117103538-340
11Torino2881193334-135
12Genoa28711102636-1032
13Como2878133444-1029
14CagliariCagliari2868142843-1526
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2882182858-3026
16Lecce2867152046-2625
17Parma2859143448-1424
18Empoli28410142345-2222
19VeneziaVenezia28310152342-1919
20Monza2828182348-2514


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