Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 38.72%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 35.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Parma | Draw | Sampdoria |
38.72% | 25.9% | 35.38% |
Both teams to score 54.49% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.19% | 49.81% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.19% | 71.81% |
Parma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.77% | 25.23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.02% | 59.98% |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.87% | 27.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.48% | 62.52% |
Score Analysis |
Parma | Draw | Sampdoria |
1-0 @ 9.43% 2-1 @ 8.47% 2-0 @ 6.49% 3-1 @ 3.89% 3-0 @ 2.98% 3-2 @ 2.54% 4-1 @ 1.34% 4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.58% Total : 38.72% | 1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 6.84% 2-2 @ 5.52% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 8.93% 1-2 @ 8.02% 0-2 @ 5.83% 1-3 @ 3.49% 0-3 @ 2.53% 2-3 @ 2.4% 1-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.04% Total : 35.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 42 | 19 | 23 | 40 |
2 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 17 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 31 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Roma | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 19 |
11 | Empoli | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 13 |
20 | Monza | 17 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |