Serie A | Gameweek 17
Dec 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Arechi
Salernitana2 - 2AC Milan
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atalanta 4-1 Salernitana
Monday, December 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Monday, December 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A
We said: Salernitana 0-3 AC Milan
Milan have been very strong in attack and should take advantage of a fragile Salernitana backline and record a comfortable victory for the second week running here. Inzaghi's change in approach against Atalanta on Monday worked for a spell, but the quality of their opponents eventually shone through, and the same could well happen again. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 45.3%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Salernitana | Draw | AC Milan |
29.6% ( 0.04) | 25.1% ( -0.01) | 45.3% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.08% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
