Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 68.49%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 13.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-1 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Salernitana win it was 2-1 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Napoli in this match.
Result | ||
Salernitana | Draw | Napoli |
13.79% ( -0) | 17.72% ( -0.01) | 68.49% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 56.46% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.07% ( 0.05) | 34.93% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.09% ( 0.06) | 56.91% ( -0.06) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.25% ( 0.03) | 37.75% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.47% ( 0.03) | 74.53% ( -0.03) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.71% ( 0.02) | 9.29% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.64% ( 0.04) | 31.35% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Salernitana | Draw | Napoli |
2-1 @ 3.95% ( -0) 1-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 1.66% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.53% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 1.95% Total : 13.79% | 1-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 17.72% | 0-2 @ 9.9% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.65% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 7.84% ( -0) 1-3 @ 7.64% ( 0) 0-4 @ 4.66% ( 0) 1-4 @ 4.54% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.72% ( 0) 0-5 @ 2.22% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.21% ( 0) 1-5 @ 2.16% ( 0) 2-5 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 4.57% Total : 68.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 25 |
2 | Inter Milan | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 24 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 22 |
4 | Fiorentina | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 22 |
5 | Juventus | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 21 |
6 | Lazio | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 19 |
7 | AC Milan | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
8 | Udinese | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
9 | Bologna | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Torino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 14 |
11 | Roma | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Empoli | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 11 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 9 |
15 | Como | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 9 |
16 | Parma | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
17 | Monza | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
18 | VeneziaVenezia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 8 |
19 | Lecce | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 20 | -16 | 8 |
20 | Genoa | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 6 |
> Serie A Full Table |