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Serie A | Gameweek 14
Nov 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Salernitana

Fiorentina
2 - 1
Salernitana

Bonaventura (15'), Jovic (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dia (55')
Radovanovic (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salernitana 2-2 Cremonese
Saturday, November 5 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 2-1 Salernitana

Fiorentina are enjoying a good run of form in all competitions as the World Cup break draws closer, but they still have a lot of work to do in order to catch up with those clubs challenging for European places in Serie A. Salernitana have improved after a woeful start to the campaign and now face two away assignments before the league pauses until January, but a trip to face Italiano's men may be where the good results of late begin to dry up. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 70.81%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 11.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fiorentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.

Result
FiorentinaDrawSalernitana
70.81% (0.768 0.77) 17.89% (-0.249 -0.25) 11.3% (-0.523 -0.52)
Both teams to score 47.78% (-0.902 -0.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.73% (-0.271 -0.27)42.27% (0.265 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.32% (-0.273 -0.27)64.67% (0.268 0.27)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.31% (0.12 0.12)10.68% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.42% (0.27500000000001 0.28)34.57% (-0.282 -0.28)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.49% (-1.088 -1.09)46.5% (1.082 1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.89% (-0.846 -0.85)82.11% (0.84 0.84)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 70.8%
    Salernitana 11.3%
    Draw 17.89%
FiorentinaDrawSalernitana
2-0 @ 12.42% (0.28 0.28)
1-0 @ 11.1% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.51% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
3-0 @ 9.26% (0.252 0.25)
3-1 @ 7.09% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 5.18% (0.167 0.17)
4-1 @ 3.97% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.092 -0.09)
5-0 @ 2.32% (0.086 0.09)
5-1 @ 1.77% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.52% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 70.8%
1-1 @ 8.51% (-0.113 -0.11)
0-0 @ 4.97% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.64% (-0.142 -0.14)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 17.89%
0-1 @ 3.8% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-2 @ 3.26% (-0.144 -0.14)
0-2 @ 1.46% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-3 @ 0.93% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 11.3%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Salernitana

Fiorentina
76.3%
Draw
14.5%
Salernitana
9.2%
76
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2022 11.30am
Dec 11, 2021 2pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli108111851325
2Inter Milan1063124131121
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1061326141219
4Fiorentina105412191219
5Lazio106132213919
6Juventus104601771018
7Udinese105141414016
8Bologna103611211115
9AC Milan94231611514
10Torino104241515014
11Roma103431011-113
12Empoli1025379-211
13Como102351221-99
14CagliariCagliari10235817-99
15Parma101631416-29
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona103071322-99
17Monza101541013-38
18VeneziaVenezia102261018-88
19Lecce11227420-168
20Genoa10136721-146


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