Serie A | Gameweek 18
Jan 15, 2023 at 5pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Atalanta8 - 2Salernitana
Boga (5'), Lookman (20' pen., 54'), Scalvini (23'), Koopmeiners (38'), Hojlund (41'), Ederson (61'), Zortea (85')
Koopmeiners (30')
Koopmeiners (30')
FT(HT: 5-1)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bologna 1-2 Atalanta
Monday, January 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Monday, January 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 1-1 Torino
Sunday, January 8 at 11.30am in Serie A
Sunday, January 8 at 11.30am in Serie A
We said: Atalanta BC 2-1 Salernitana
During the opening 15 minutes of play in Serie A this season, Salernitana have shipped the joint-most goals (six), but they cannot afford a slow start on Sunday. There are some signs Atalanta may be clicking back into gear following the winter break, and the hosts can punish any slip-ups from a vulnerable away side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 66.7%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 13.43%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 8-2 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Salernitana |
66.7% ( -0.63) | 19.86% ( 0.28) | 13.43% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 47.79% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
