Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 47.07%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 28.89% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest SPAL win was 2-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.