Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Udinese win was 1-0 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
0.08) 
-0.09) 
