Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 44.64%. A win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 28.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (8.56%). The likeliest Cosenza Calcio win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.