Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 57.91%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 17.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.72%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Empoli would win this match.