Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 36.65%. A win for Perugia had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Perugia win was 1-0 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
