Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for Vicenza had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Vicenza win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SPAL would win this match.
