Despite their poor record in Austria, Sporting did end that barren run by winning away to Sturm last season, and even though they are weakened by injuries, the visitors will enter as strong favourites.
With two defeats from two so far, Sturm's European campaign has not got going at all, and despite some fine wins domestically recently, this will be a much sterner test against an unbeaten Sporting.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 60.73%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 18.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.83%) and 0-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Sturm Graz win it was 2-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
-0.3) 
0.69) 
