Champions League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 11, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
Sporting Lisbonvs.Dortmund
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Porto 1-1 Sporting Lisbon
Friday, February 7 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, February 7 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
57
Last Game: Dortmund 1-2 Stuttgart
Saturday, February 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, February 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Goals
for
for
37
We say: Sporting Lisbon 1-1 Borussia Dortmund
With both sides still adapting to recent managerial changes and struggling to string a consistent run together, Tuesday's first leg has a draw written all over it. Kovac cannot fix Dortmund's leaky defence overnight, but Gyokeres may not be firing on all cylinders after his recent injury, so we cannot see either side claiming an advantage before the return fixture. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 55.89%. A win for Borussia Dortmund has a probability of 22.92% and a draw has a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (7.73%) and 1-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win is 1-2 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.43%).
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
55.89% ( -0.22) | 21.2% ( 0.08) | 22.92% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 62.27% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
