Besiktas have been in good form heading into this game, not losing in any of their last six matches across all competitions, and have enjoyed a lengthy spell of success against Galatasaray when playing in front of a home crowd.
However, Galatasaray have been almost faultless in the league this season and are strong favourites to take home the three points.
While we do expect this to be a tight encounter between two of Turkey's top sides, we believe that Galatasaray will do enough to claim the victory and potentially extend their lead at the top of the Turkish Super Lig.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 38.41%. A win for Besiktas had a probability of 37.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.82%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Besiktas win was 2-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.
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