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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 9
Oct 22, 2023 at 5pm UK
Ulker Stadyumu Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu Spor Kompleksi

Fenerbahce
4 - 2
Hatayspor

Szymanski (7'), Osayi-Samuel (15'), Dzeko (39'), Kahveci (63')
Becao (73')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Ghoulam (55'), Aabid (90+4')
Dele-Bashiru (20'), Kilama (61'), Bekaroglu (69'), Lamkel Ze (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fenerbahce and Hatayspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hatayspor 3-1 Konyaspor
Sunday, October 8 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Fenerbahce 3-0 Hatayspor

No side in Turkey appears capable of stopping Fenerbahce in their tracks currently, and another unbeaten start may go here with a routine home win. Hatayspor's start has been excellent, especially given the horrible circumstances surrounding the club over the past few months, and an expected defeat should not damage morale too much. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 86.71%. A draw had a probability of 9.1% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 4.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 4-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.22%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 1-2 (1.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
FenerbahceDrawHatayspor
86.71% (-0.50699999999999 -0.51) 9.05% (0.283 0.28) 4.24% (0.2249 0.22)
Both teams to score 46.11% (0.66099999999999 0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.07% (-0.262 -0.26)24.93% (0.264 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.17% (-0.34500000000001 -0.35)44.82% (0.347 0.35)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.21% (-0.116 -0.12)3.79% (0.117 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
83.8% (-0.386 -0.39)16.2% (0.387 0.39)
Hatayspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.93% (0.743 0.74)52.07% (-0.742 -0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.95% (0.479 0.48)86.05% (-0.479 -0.48)
Score Analysis
    Fenerbahce 86.71%
    Hatayspor 4.24%
    Draw 9.05%
FenerbahceDrawHatayspor
3-0 @ 11.53% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-0 @ 10.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 9.43% (-0.2 -0.2)
3-1 @ 7.53% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
2-1 @ 6.9% (0.138 0.14)
1-0 @ 6.46% (0.05 0.05)
5-0 @ 6.17% (-0.192 -0.19)
4-1 @ 6.16% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
5-1 @ 4.03% (-0.035 -0.04)
6-0 @ 3.37% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.078 0.08)
6-1 @ 2.2% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-2 @ 2.01% (0.046 0.05)
7-0 @ 1.57% (-0.081 -0.08)
5-2 @ 1.32% (0.018 0.02)
7-1 @ 1.03% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 86.71%
1-1 @ 4.22% (0.124 0.12)
2-2 @ 2.25% (0.093 0.09)
0-0 @ 1.97% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 9.05%
1-2 @ 1.38% (0.07 0.07)
0-1 @ 1.29% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 4.24%

How you voted: Fenerbahce vs Hatayspor

Fenerbahce
95.8%
Draw
4.2%
Hatayspor
0.0%
24
Head to Head
May 21, 2023 5pm
Dec 27, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 16
Fenerbahce
4-0
Hatayspor
King (20'), Batshuayi (26'), Dursun (86'), Henrique (90+5')
Feb 20, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 26
Fenerbahce
2-0
Hatayspor
Dursun (67' pen., 81' pen.)

Ribeiro (17'), Temel (38')
Sep 26, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 7
Hatayspor
1-2
Fenerbahce
Saint-Louis (70')
Biram Diouf (78'), Kamara (86')
Rossi (17'), Novak (29')
Hakan Yandas (44'), Pereira (45'), Novak (90+1')
Feb 2, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 23
Hatayspor
1-2
Fenerbahce
Boupendza (90')
Caytemel (38'), Ribeiro (50'), Santos (59'), Boupendza (89'), Erdogan (90+2')
Thiam (26'), Billong (88' og.)
Cisse (73'), Bayindir (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray19163052223051
2Fenerbahce18133245182742
3Samsunspor18113432181436
4Goztepe SKGoztepe SK1894537231431
5EyupsporEyupspor1886429191030
6BesiktasBesiktas188642820830
7Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul187562925426
8GaziantepGaziantep187472526-125
9Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor187381927-824
10TrabzonsporTrabzonspor185763024622
11AlanyasporAlanyaspor185761921-222
12KasimpasaKasimpasa184952430-621
13AntalyasporAntalyaspor186392137-1621
14KonyasporKonyaspor185582128-720
15SivassporSivasspor185582128-720
16KayserisporKayserispor183781734-1716
17Bodrumspor1843111425-1115
18Hatayspor1917111732-1510
19Adana Demirspor1822141538-235


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