Gaziantep have been far stronger at home than on their travels, and while the same can be said for Eyupspor, their difference in theirs is not as pronounced.
GFK have dropped points in only five home matches this season, winning seven, and aside from their draw with Bodrum, the only teams to take points off them at the Gaziantep Stadium have been sides clearly superior to them, a category the visitors do not currently fall into, which is why we believe the hosts have the edge in this encounter.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gaziantep win with a probability of 39.01%. A win for Eyupspor had a probability of 34.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gaziantep win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Eyupspor win was 0-1 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gaziantep would win this match.
-0.1) 
0.29) 
