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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 35
May 5, 2024 at 5pm UK
Gaziantep Stadyumu

Gaziantep
1 - 1
Hatayspor

Djilobodji (11')
Djilobodji (56'), Kizildag (62')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kilama (15')
Inan (2'), Yilmaz (23'), Ghoulam (32'), Corekci (52'), Sinik (61'), Sinik (68'), Kizildag (71'), Faruk Beyaz (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Gaziantep and Hatayspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Trabzonspor 4-2 Gaziantep
Sunday, April 28 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Hatayspor 1-2 Istanbul
Saturday, April 27 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Gaziantep 1-1 Hatayspor

This is a relegation six-pointer, so we expect it to be a very close battle with both sides not letting the other off easily. We expect a game where both teams will find the net but will eventually end in a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gaziantep win with a probability of 47.1%. A win for Hatayspor had a probability of 27.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gaziantep win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Hatayspor win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
GaziantepDrawHatayspor
47.1% (0.396 0.4) 25.82% (-0.156 -0.16) 27.08% (-0.241 -0.24)
Both teams to score 51.15% (0.3 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.53% (0.475 0.48)52.47% (-0.47600000000001 -0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.85% (0.405 0.41)74.14% (-0.405 -0.41)
Gaziantep Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.73% (0.38200000000001 0.38)22.27% (-0.381 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.28% (0.57 0.57)55.72% (-0.572 -0.57)
Hatayspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.81% (0.063000000000002 0.06)34.19% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.11% (0.068000000000001 0.07)70.89% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Gaziantep 47.09%
    Hatayspor 27.08%
    Draw 25.81%
GaziantepDrawHatayspor
1-0 @ 11.43% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.22% (0.052000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.59% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.61% (0.078 0.08)
3-0 @ 4.3% (0.066 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.48% (0.046 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.73% (0.049 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.61% (0.042 0.04)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 47.09%
1-1 @ 12.27% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7.62% (-0.145 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 25.81%
0-1 @ 8.17% (-0.142 -0.14)
1-2 @ 6.59% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.39% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 27.08%

Head to Head
Jan 10, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 16
Hatayspor
0-0
Gaziantep
Faruk Beyaz (51'), Kilama (63'), Dadasov (75')
Feb 1, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 22
Gaziantep
4-1
Hatayspor
Jevtovic (38'), Markovic (56', 77'), Merkel (88')
El Kaabi (27')
Aug 20, 2022 5.15pm
Gameweek 3
Hatayspor
1-2
Gaziantep
El Kaabi (31')
Vranjes (58'), Corekci (59')
Figueiredo (7'), Jevtovic (49')
Maxim (34'), Markovic (51'), Jevtovic (82')
Mar 7, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 28
Gaziantep
2-2
Hatayspor
Maxim (5', 79')
Soyalp (15')
Caulker (20' og.), El Kaabi (30')
Ergun (40'), Adekugbe (73')
Oct 18, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 9
Hatayspor
2-1
Gaziantep
Biram Diouf (52' pen.), Kamara (73')
Biram Diouf (39'), Ribeiro (57')
Sagal (82')
Demir (39'), Caulker (51'), Erdogan (67'), Maxim (67'), Ozer (90+6')
rhs 2.0
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