Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 52.33%. A win for Basel had a probability of 26.29% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.65%) and 1-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Basel win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.