Taca da Liga | Quarter-Finals
Dec 19, 2022 at 8.15pm UK
Sporting Lisbon5 - 0Braga
Coverage of the Taca da Liga Quarter-Finals clash between Sporting Lisbon and Braga.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 5-0 Maritimo
Tuesday, December 13 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga
Tuesday, December 13 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Braga 2-0 Pacos de Ferreira
Sunday, December 11 at 7pm in Taca da Liga
Sunday, December 11 at 7pm in Taca da Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 45.44%. A win for Braga had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Braga win was 0-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Braga |
45.44% ( -0.02) | 24.92% ( -0.05) | 29.64% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 55.71% ( 0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.69% ( 0.24) | 47.32% ( -0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.46% ( 0.22) | 69.54% ( -0.22) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.13% ( 0.09) | 20.87% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.43% ( 0.14) | 53.57% ( -0.14) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.41% ( 0.17) | 29.59% ( -0.17) |