European Under-21s Championship | Qualifying Round
Sep 4, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
Laugardalsvollur
Iceland U21s1 - 0Sweden U21s
Aron Gudjohnsen (66')
Thor Ingimundarson (54'), Thor Hauksson (62'), Darri Willumsson (82')
Thor Ingimundarson (54'), Thor Hauksson (62'), Darri Willumsson (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gyokeres (62')
Coverage of the European Under-21s Championship Qualifying Round clash between Iceland Under-21s and Sweden Under-21s.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iceland Under-21s win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Sweden Under-21s had a probability of 36.45% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iceland Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.83%) and 2-0 (5.12%). The likeliest Sweden Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Iceland Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Iceland Under-21s | Draw | Sweden Under-21s |
| 40.96% | 22.58% | 36.45% |
| Both teams to score 66.85% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
