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Cerro Largo logo
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 10
Mar 28, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla

Cerro Largo
vs.
Nacional

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro Largo and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro Largo

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro Largo 2-2 Danubio (4-3 pen.)
Thursday, March 6 at 10pm in Copa Sudamericana
Next Game: Wanderers vs. Cerro Largo
Monday, March 10 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Nacional

All competitions
Last Game: Nacional 3-3 River Plate
Saturday, March 8 at 9pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Next Game: Racing vs. Nacional
Sunday, March 16 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nacional win with a probability of 50.53%. A draw has a probability of 26% and a win for Cerro Largo has a probability of 23.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (9.85%) and 1-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Cerro Largo win it is 1-0 (8.11%).

Result
Cerro LargoDrawNacional
23.49%25.98%50.53%
Both teams to score 47.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.3%55.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.16%76.84%
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.9%39.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.19%75.81%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.9%22.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.54%55.46%
Score Analysis
    Cerro Largo 23.49%
    Nacional 50.53%
    Draw 25.97%
Cerro LargoDrawNacional
1-0 @ 8.11%
2-1 @ 5.75%
2-0 @ 3.81%
3-1 @ 1.8%
3-2 @ 1.36%
3-0 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 23.49%
1-1 @ 12.24%
0-0 @ 8.64%
2-2 @ 4.34%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 25.97%
0-1 @ 13.04%
0-2 @ 9.85%
1-2 @ 9.25%
0-3 @ 4.95%
1-3 @ 4.65%
2-3 @ 2.19%
0-4 @ 1.87%
1-4 @ 1.76%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 50.53%

Head to Head
Oct 13, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 7
Cerro Largo
0-1
Nacional

Cosentino (1'), Rabino (90')
Lopez (48')
Bentancourt (22'), Oliva (35'), Lopez (69'), Pereyra (88')
Jun 23, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 3
Cerro Largo
0-4
Nacional

Acosta (9'), Assis (14'), Prado (45+13'), Silveira (45+16'), Brasil (45+20'), Nunez (45+3'), Rabino (55'), de Luca Ibargoyen (87')
Brasil (45+21'), Silveira (90+1')
Pereyra (13'), Sanabria (45+8'), Galeano (49'), Santander (75')
Gonzalez (43'), Bentancourt (45'), Pereyra (45+7'), Polenta (66')
Apr 6, 2024 10pm
Gameweek 7
Nacional
1-0
Cerro Largo
Baez (32')
Pereyra (20'), Sosa (37'), Baez (39'), Acosta (53'), Zabala (79'), Recoba (80'), Velazquez (85'), Zabala (90+5')

Romero (40'), Castro (65'), Formento (75')
Aug 26, 2023 10pm
Gameweek 2
Cerro Largo
2-2
Nacional
Gianoli (18'), Silveira (90')
Viera (14'), Brasil (29'), Santilli (76'), Ferrares (90+6'), Galletto (90+7')
Ramirez (27'), Zabala (86')
Galeano (38'), Fagundez (79')
Fagundez (90+5')
Jul 22, 2023 11.30pm
Gameweek 7
Nacional
1-0
Cerro Largo
Fagundez (34')
Ramirez (14'), Morales (62'), Lozano (82')

Gianoli (14'), Galletto (45+8'), Viera (61'), Brasil (90')
rhs 2.0
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