Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 7
Mar 18, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Campeón del Siglo
Penarol1 - 0River Plate
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and River Plate.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Penarol 2-2 Torque
Sunday, March 12 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, March 12 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 3-1 Maldonado
Monday, March 13 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Monday, March 13 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 45.62%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 26.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a River Plate win it was 0-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Penarol in this match.
| Result | ||
| Penarol | Draw | River Plate |
45.62% ( 0.04) | 27.92% ( -0.46) | 26.46% ( 0.42) |
| Both teams to score 44.76% ( 1.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
