MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 03:10:17| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Feb 25, 2023 at 12.45pm UK
Parque Federico Omar Saroldi

River Plate
3 - 2
Cerro

Castro (23'), Rivero (27'), Alfonso (90+4')
Kidd (20'), Trasante (77'), Busquets (83'), Pereira (85')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Rodriguez (17'), Magallanes (90+2')
Cabral (39'), Ojeda (55'), Magallanes (58'), Lacoste (80')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between River Plate and Cerro.

Form, Standings, Stats

River Plate

All competitions
Last Game: Racing 0-0 River Plate
Sunday, February 19 at 12.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Cerro

All competitions
Last Game: Cerro 0-0 Maldonado
Saturday, February 18 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 41.64%. A draw had a probability of 30.9% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 27.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 2-1 (7.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.18%), while for a Cerro win it was 0-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River PlateDrawCerro
41.64% (0.07 0.07) 30.9% (-0.026 -0.03) 27.46% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 38.17% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.06% (0.047999999999998 0.05)68.94% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.45% (0.032 0.03)86.55% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.08% (0.067999999999998 0.07)32.92% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.5% (0.074999999999999 0.07)69.5% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Cerro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.91% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)43.09% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.64% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)79.37% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 41.64%
    Cerro 27.46%
    Draw 30.89%
River PlateDrawCerro
1-0 @ 15.76%
2-0 @ 8.76% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.37% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.24% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.15% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 0.9% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 41.64%
0-0 @ 14.18% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-1 @ 13.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.1% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 30.89%
0-1 @ 11.94% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.03% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.57% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.41% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 27.46%

Head to Head
Jan 20, 2021 8pm
River Plate
1-2
Cerro
Gonzalez (28')
Quintana (35'), Arezo (54'), Olivera (90')
Cabrera (45+2'), Tancredi (56')
Gonzalez (16')
Feb 22, 2020 8pm
Cerro
0-0
River Plate

Paiva (32'), Brasil (66')
Gonzalez (86')

Ospitaleche (68'), Rodriguez (79'), Herrera (83'), Fernandez (84')
Oct 16, 2019 8pm
Cerro
3-2
River Plate
Viera (15'), Lopez (45' pen.), Acosta (79')
Gonzalez (33'), Lopez (65'), Nunez (74')
Gonzalez (48')
Rodriguez (26'), Alonso (50' pen.)
Mar 24, 2019 7pm
River Plate
2-1
Cerro
Plada (49'), Urruti (80')
Alonso (11'), Ospitaleche (35'), Ale (57')
Peraza (55')
Pellejero (11'), Brasil (16'), Alonso (58'), Roldan (74'), Tancredi (76'), Izquierdo (93')
Pellejero (82')
Oct 14, 2018 8pm
Cerro
4-2
River Plate
Lopez (10'), Zazpe (78'), Acevedo (86'), Acuna (91')
Izquierdo (5'), Zazpe (49'), Klein (54')
Nunez (50' og.), Manuel Olivera (69' pen.)
Ale (54'), Ospitaleche (75')
rhs 2.0
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