MX23RW : Tuesday, February 11 08:00:39| >> :300:86500:86500:
Penarol
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Mar 5, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Campeón del Siglo

Penarol
2 - 1
Maldonado

Sanchez (29'), Arezo (71')
Rossi (4'), Saravia (54')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cantera (25')
Cantera (21'), Toledo (21'), Fernandez (44'), Cayetano (77'), Camarda (80')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Deportivo Maldonado.

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions
Last Game: Defensor 2-2 Penarol
Saturday, February 25 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Deportivo Maldonado

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Fortaleza 4-0 Maldonado
Friday, March 3 at 12am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 53.53%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 19.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.52%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 0-1 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
PenarolDrawDeportivo Maldonado
53.53% (-0.309 -0.31) 26.82% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 19.64% (0.331 0.33)
Both teams to score 40.76% (0.491 0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.01% (0.39 0.39)61.99% (-0.395 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.27% (0.285 0.29)81.73% (-0.29000000000001 -0.29)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.54% (0.033000000000001 0.03)23.45% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.53% (0.048999999999999 0.05)57.46% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Deportivo Maldonado Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.25% (0.614 0.61)46.75% (-0.621 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.7% (0.463 0.46)82.29% (-0.46900000000001 -0.47)
Score Analysis
    Penarol 53.52%
    Deportivo Maldonado 19.64%
    Draw 26.82%
PenarolDrawDeportivo Maldonado
1-0 @ 15.89% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-0 @ 11.52% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 8.77% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 5.57% (-0.063999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.24% (0.025 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.02% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.61% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.54% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 53.52%
1-1 @ 12.09% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 10.96% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 3.33% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 26.82%
0-1 @ 8.34% (0.022 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.6% (0.097 0.1)
0-2 @ 3.17% (0.064 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.17% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 19.64%

Head to Head
Aug 22, 2022 11pm
Maldonado
1-1
Penarol
Viatri (70' og.)
Rodriguez (20'), Romero (36'), Piriz (38'), Darias (57'), Cayetano (61'), Reyes (80'), Ferreira (90+5')
Rak (47')
Menosse (32'), Gargano (75')
Jun 19, 2022 9.30pm
Maldonado
1-3
Penarol
Arias (76' og.)
Darias (14'), Gonzalez (54'), Cotugno (87'), Lima (89')
Bentancourt (60'), Laquintana (74'), Ceppelini (88' pen.)
Musto (44'), Elizalde (45'), Dawson (90+3'), Menosse (90+3')
Elizalde (80')
Mar 19, 2022 9pm
Penarol
1-1
Maldonado
Ramos (28')
Carrizo (67'), Bentancourt (76'), Viatri (80')
Borges (68')
Piriz (22'), Ferreira (41'), Rodriguez (45+1'), Cotugno (61')
Ferreira (81')
Oct 17, 2021 7.30pm
Maldonado
1-0
Penarol
Ramos (26')
Lima (62'), Casas (76'), Conechny (81'), Darias (82'), Tealde (86'), Ramos (88')

Alvarez (64'), Gargano (65'), Bentancourt (82'), Gaitan (90+3')
Jun 20, 2021 7.45pm
Penarol
4-0
Maldonado
Gargano (1'), Alvarez (43', 82'), Varela (72' og.)
Ceppelini (36')

Conechny (3'), Lima (60'), Gonzalez (67'), Ravecca (86')
rhs 2.0
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